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Premium Content Milwaukee Brewers Top-15 Prospects of 2010, No’s 1 – 5

March 25, 2010 BY ALEX EISENBERG No Comments Yet

Brewers Prospects, No’s 1 – 5

    1. Brett Lawrie | 2b | Age – 20 | Grade – B+
    2. Eric Arnett | RHP | Age – 22 | Grade – B/B-
    3. Jon Lucroy | C | Age – 23 | Grade – B-/B
    4. Wily Peralta | RHP | Age – 20 | Grade – B-
    5. Cody Scarpetta | RHP | Age – 21 | Grade – B-

For the full prospect listing, please click here

Key Links
› Prospect Primer (Grading Criteria Explained)
› Team Page Listings
› Index of 2010 Top Prospect Lists
› Index of Last Year’s Top Prospect Lists
Brewers Links
› Brewers Team Page
› 2009 Brewers Top Prospects

ALSO SEEBrewers Top Prospects, No’s 6 – 15

Grades are based on a prospect’s projected value over the course of his career and how likely it is that prospect will fulfill his projected value. Various factors are accounted for including upside, red flags, actual performance, and closeness to the majors. See the 2010 Prospect Primer for more information as it relates to prospect grading and philosophy.

Hitters must have 100 or fewer Major League ABs to qualify for this list. Starting pitchers must have 50 or fewer Major League innings to qualify for this list. Relief pitchers must have 25 or fewer Major League innings to qualify for this list. Ages are listed as of May 1st, 2010. Levels are based on the highest level in which a prospect played in 2009. All grades are subject to change based on any new information I receive before the season starts.

If you need to reach me in any way, please contact me via e-mail or post a comment at the bottom of the page and I’ll get back to you as soon as possible. The first two prospects are available for everybody to read.

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1. Brett Lawrie | 2b | B – R | Age – 20
Double-A Huntsville | Drafted – Round 1 (16), 2008

Player Grades
Contact – 45 Now | 55 Future
Power – 45 | 55
Discipline – 45 | 60
Speed – 55 | 50
Defense – 40 | 50
Arm – 60 | 60
Instincts – 50 | 60
ETA – Early 2012
Final Grade – B+

Body Type – Muscular and athletic

Scouting Report

It was a successful year for Brett Lawrie, playing full season ball in Single-A Wisconsin, where he was younger than most of the peers he went head-to-head with.

I’ve always been impressed with Lawrie’s plate discipline and approach at the plate. I believe it’s something that will only get better as he gets more experience.

Lawrie has a hitch in his swing when he loads up. He flicks the bat before getting into his swing…it’s part of his overall rhythm at the plate and it’s a source of Lawrie’s power.

Now, the issue here is that Lawrie’s timing is very important. It’s important that flick be correctly timed or his contact isn’t going to be as crisp. Lucky for him, Lawrie is a pro hitter…he’s able to calculate this type of thing in his head without really thinking. But that doesn’t mean he isn’t prone to poor timing.

He’s vulnerable on pitches up in the zone because the flick takes his hands up and then down into a swing path that is naturally geared more toward the middle of the strike zone. When the pitch is up, there is a point in Lawrie’s swing where he is forced to adjust the direction his hands are taking him. As a result, the time to complete the swing is delayed and he ends up late on the pitch. You can see an example of this below:


*Credit to 23smrogo

Lawrie counters this by doing a pretty good job of laying off pitches he can’t handle up in the zone and he’s particularly adept at fouling off pitches to get one he can handle.

Defensively, Lawrie can play almost everywhere. The problem is that he really doesn’t play anywhere well. He still has a lot of work to do before he becomes an average level defender.

Best Case Outcome – He could be an elite level bat if he’s able to stay at second base

More Likely Outcome – Perhaps an above average everyday player at third base…I still need to see how it all shakes out defensively for Lawrie.

2. Eric Arnett | RHP | Age – 22
Helena (Rookie) | Drafted – Round 1 (26), 2009

Player Grades
Fastball – 55 Now | 60 Future
Slider – 55/50 | 60
Change-Up – 40 | 50
Control – 40 | 50
Command – 40 | 55
Pitchability – 45 | 55
ETA – 2013
Final Grade – B/B-

Click here for a pitch-by-pitch look at Eric Arnett

Body Type – Big bodied and very athletic…an ideal pitcher’s frame

Stuff

Fastball – Clocked in the low – mid 90′s with arm-side run and sink…can miss bats and induce ground balls. There are questions about the consistency of its velocity.

Slider – Needs more consistency, but it’s a tight breaking pitch that generates swings-and-misses

Change-Up – Has some promise, but it’s very early in its development…improvement will come with repetition

Arnett reportedly has a split-finger pitch in his arsenal that is also still very much a work in progress.

Scouting Report

Arnett flashes an ability to command all his pitches, but he’s inconsistent. Also inconsistent are his mechanics though his mechanical actions and athletic ability should help him repeat them on a more consistent basis in the future.

Arnett’s arm works well and he doesn’t use much effort to throw for a high velocity, allowing him to maintain that velocity deep into games.

His mechanics aren’t perfect however, as he lands somewhat closed, cutting off his hip rotation, which can hurt both command and velocity though that isn’t always the case. Arnett also has an inconsistent release point.

Arnett’s biggest red flag is the work load he had while at Indiana. It’s an alarming amount of abuse and combined with his inconsistent velocity, Brewer officials should at least be a little concerned for his future.

Work load notwithstanding, there is a great deal of appeal with an athletic pitcher with two above average – plus pitches who has the ability to keep the ball on the ground and miss bats, not to mention maintain velocity deep into games.

Best Case Outcome – No. 2 starter

More Likely Outcome – No. 3 starter

Brief Rundown on Prospects 3 – 5

*Based on the criteria I’ve set forth, Alcides Escobar and Mat Gamel do not qualify as prospects

3. Jon Lucroy | C | Grade – B-/B – A true catcher with good plate discipline…not a star, but an overall well-rounded player

4. Wily Peralta | RHP | Grade – B- – High upside pitch with excellent stuff, but questionable control…could end up in the bullpen

5. Cody Scarpetta | RHP | Grade – B- – Similar to Peralta, but with slightly worse command…could also end up in the bullpen

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UP NEXTMilwaukee Brewers Top Prospects, No’s 6 – 15

Other References and Resources Used for This ArticleFirst Inning and Minor League Splits





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