Baseball-Intellect’s Top-100 Prospects of 2011
Before I begin, here is the process I used in putting together these rankings:
- 1. These rankings I try to base solely on how I would rank each prospect coming into 2011. This means whatever a prospect has done in 2011 doesn’t count in the context of the list below.
- 2. I tried to stay true to a player’s grade and team ranking.
At the bottom of the article, there is a list of prospects that just missed the cut and some names with the potential to be on next year’s list. I also break down the top 100 prospects by team.
Now, I’m obviously disappointed by how late I’m getting this out, but at the same time I’m completely worn out and understand there will no stoppage in work with the season now on-going. This means it might be time to bring in some new writers to help me carry the load, which would offer more value to readers here. More on that later.
One last thing I want to mention. With the prospect lists behind us (besides the scouting reports on each team’s No. 15 prospect, which I will send out within the next couple of weeks, all with updated information of course), you can expect brand new content, including video reports very shortly.
Also, I rarely press you the reader on this, but Baseball-Intellect needs funding to survive. If you have a couple dollars to spare, seriously think about purchasing a Premium Membership. Not only do you get valuable, meaningful content, but it shows an appreciation for the hard work put into this site…
So with that out of the way, I present you with Baseball-Intellect’s Top-100 prospects for the 2011 season…
1. Mike Trout | Los Angeles Angels (1) | CF | Grade – A-
2. Bryce Harper | Washington Nationals (1) | RF | Grade – A-
If I was to consider what Harper has done so far in 2011, he’d be my No. 1 guy…he looks like the real deal and appears well on his way to being the No. 1 ranked prospect in 2012 and a top letter grade of A as well. But it is early…
3. Eric Hosmer | Kansas City Royals (1) | 1b | Grade – A-
Remember to read my in-depth breakdown of Hosmer by clicking here…
4. Shelby Miller | St. Louis Cardinals (1) | RHP | Grade – A-
5. Julio Teheran | Atlanta Braves (1) | RHP | Grade – A-
6. Domonic Brown | Philadelphia Phillies (1) | RF | Grade – A-
7. Jeremy Hellickson | Tampa Bay Rays (1) | RHP | Grade – A-
8. Wil Myers | Kansas City Royals (2) | RF | Grade – A-
9. Jesus Montero | New York Yankees (1) | C/1b/DH | Grade – A-
10. Manny Machado | Baltimore Orioles (1) | SS | Grade – A-/B+
11. Chris Sale | Chicago White Sox (1) | LHP | Grade – A-/B+
I completely disagreed with Chicago’s decision to keep Sale in the Major League bullpen at a time when he needed to build up innings and experience as a starter in the Minor Leagues. Not surprisingly, he’s struggled (though not as bad as his ERA suggests), and they continue to use him out of the bullpen in one inning stints. I think they are hurting his development.
12. Aroldis Chapman | Cincinnati Reds (1) | LHP | Grade – A-/B+
I’d probably give Chapman a B+ if I could do it over again simply because I’m becoming more and more convinced he’s going to end up in the bullpen when all is said and done, and even there he has to learn to throw strikes.
13. Manny Banuelos | New York Yankees (2) | LHP | Grade – B+/A-
14. Kyle Drabek | Toronto Blue Jays (1) | RHP | Grade – B+
15. Martin Perez | Texas Rangers (1) | LHP | Grade – B+
16. Zack Britton | Baltimore Orioles (3) | LHP | Grade – B+
Even this high a ranking sells Britton short. He’s been phenominal in 2011 and what I did not anticipate was his sinker being so good that he’d be able to mask any weakness he does have, which is mainly his command which he still struggles with. I didn’t think he’d be able to reach the level of No. 1 starter, but it’s now impossible to say he doesn’t have that kind of ceiling. He still may not get there, but at least now we know it’s a legit possibility.
17. Jarred Cosart | Philadelphia Phillies (2) | RHP | Grade – B+
18. Wilin Rosario | Colorado Rockies (1) | C | Grade – B+
19. Devin Mesoraco | Cincinnati Reds (2) | C | Grade – B+
Be sure to check out my in-depth breakdown on Mesoraco at Reds Minor Leagues, who as I’m sure most already know is the go to website for all information about prospects in the Cincinnati Reds organization.
20. Jameson Taillon | Pittsburgh Pirates (1) | RHP | Grade – B+
21. Brandon Belt | San Francisco Giants (1) | 1b | Grade – B+
22. Jarrod Parker | Arizona Diamondbacks (1) | RHP | Grade – B+
His command isn’t all the way back to pre-Tommy John surgery form. It will take some time, but it’s good to see his velocity back.
23. Matt Moore | Tampa Bay Rays (2) | LHP | Grade – B+
Interesting to see how Moore has broken his pattern of not throwing strikes in the early portion of the season. Can he sustain his newfound control over a lengthy period of time? If he can, batters beware.
24. Mike Montgomery | Kansas City Royals (3) | LHP | Grade – B+
25. Desmond Jennings | Tampa Bay Rays (3) | CF | Grade – B+
26. Jacob Turner | Detroit Tigers (1) | RHP | Grade – B+
27. Jason Kipnis | Cleveland Indians (1) | 2b | Grade – B+
28. Dustin Ackley | Seattle Mariners (1) | 2b | Grade – B+
29. Mike Moustakas | Kansas City Royals (4) | 3b | Grade – B+
30. John Lamb | Kansas City Royals (5) | LHP | Grade – B+
31. Freddie Freeman | Atlanta Braves (2) | 1b | Grade – B+
32. Jon Singleton | Philadelphia Phillies (3) | 1b/OF | Grade – B+
He’s experienced a massive carry over effect from his disastrous second half of last season, only now he’s striking out at an extremely high rate. Not sure what’s going on with him.
33. Jurickson Profar | Texas Rangers (2) | SS | Grade – B+
34. Mike Minor | Atlanta Braves (3) | LHP | Grade – B+
Questioned my grading of Minor in Spring Training — or at least questioned my lower rating of Brandon Beachy as he was beating Minor out for a spot in the opening day rotation. I can’t justify one being a B+ and the other a B- when they are actually quite similar…even their grade boxes reflect that.
35. Randall Delgado | Atlanta Braves (4) | RHP | Grade – B+
36. Dellin Betances | New York Yankees (3) | RHP | Grade – B+
37. Jaff Decker | San Diego Padres (1) | OF | Grade – B+
38. Aaron Hicks | Minnesota Twins (1) | CF | Grade – B+
39. Derek Norris | Washington Nationals (2) | C | Grade – B+
40. Gary Sanchez | New York Yankees (4) | C | Grade – B+
There are several guys below him I’d probably rate higher than him. I like Sanchez, but I was a little too aggressive with this grade.
41. Jordan Lyles | Houston Astros (1) | RHP | Grade – B+/B
42. Michael Pineda | Seattle Mariners (2) | RHP | Grade – B+/B
He’s been fantastic early on, but it’s never been his stuff that has been at issue. It’s always been about health with me. If he stays healthy and continues to start, then he should obviously have been rated higher.
43. Kyle Gibson | Minnesota Twins (2) | RHP | Grade – B+/B
44. Wilmer Flores | New York Mets (1) | SS/3b/1b | Grade – B+/B
45. Drew Pomeranz | Cleveland Indians (2) | LHP | Grade – B/B+
46. Brett Jackson | Chicago Cubs (1) | CF | Grade – B/B+
47. Lonnie Chisenhall | Cleveland Indians (3) | 3b | Grade – B/B+
48. Grant Green | Oakland Athletics (1) | SS | Grade – B/B+
49. Miguel Sano | Minnesota Twins (3) | 3b | Grade – B/B+
50. Anthony Ranaudo | Boston Red Sox (1) | RHP | Grade – B/B+
51. Chris Archer | Tampa Bay Rays (4) | RHP | Grade – B/B+
He’s looking a lot like the 2007 and 2008 version of Chris Archer rather than the 2010 version. The only difference now is that he’s not even effectively wild — h’s actually given up a ton of hits. So there are some serious warning signs her that something is up, but I can’t say for sure because I haven’t seen him yet this year.
52. Jenrry Mejia | New York Mets (2) | RHP | Grade – B/B+
53. Danny Duffy | Kansas City Royals (6) | LHP | Grade – B
I think he’s raised his stock so far in the early going of this year. His stuff looks better this year, and now he has to work on being able to command that better stuff.
54. Jake Odorizzi | Kansas City Royals (7) | RHP | Grade – B
55. Jean Segura | Los Angeles Angels (2) | 2b/SS | Grade – B
56. Matt Harvey | New York Mets (3) | RHP | Grade – B
57. Tyler Skaggs | Arizona Diamondbacks (2) | LHP | Grade – B
58. Brett Lawrie | Toronto Blue Jays (2) | 3b | Grade – B
59. Anthony Rizzo | San Diego Padres (2) | 1b | Grade – B
Based on current play, he should be rated higher.
60. Nick Franklin | Seattle Mariners (3) | SS/2b | Grade – B
61. Zack Wheeler | San Francisco Giants (2) | RHP | Grade – B
62. Nick Castellanos | Detroit Tigers (2) | 3b | Grade – B
He’s taken a little longer to adjust to pro ball than I expected him to, but it is still early.
63. Yasmani Grandal | Cincinnati Reds (3) | C | Grade – B
64. Arodys Vizcaino | Atlanta Braves (5) RHP | Grade – B
65. Alex Wimmers | Minnesota Twins (4) | RHP | Grade – B
Very curious what has happened with Wimmers this year. Still awaiting a second start from him.
66. Casey Kelly | San Diego Padres (3) | RHP | Grade – B
67. Tyler Matzek | Colorado Rockies (2) | LHP | Grade – B
Obviously something is wrong with him. I have a couple of theories over what it is and I’ll explore them in an upcoming article.
68. Zack Cox | St. Louis Cardinals (2) | 3b | Grade – B
69. Carlos Martinez | St. Louis Cardinals (3) | RHP | Grade – B
If there is one prospect you don’t know on this list, it’s probably this one. But keep a very close eye on him as he has loads of upside in addition to both feel and polish for somebody his age.
70. Drake Britton | Boston Red Sox (2) | LHP | Grade – B
He’s been one of the most disappointing prospects so far in 2011.
71. Zach Lee | Los Angeles Dodgers (1) | RHP | Grade – B
72. Jose Iglesias | Boston Red Sox (3) | SS | Grade – B
73. Hak-Ju Lee | Tampa Bay Rays (5) | SS | Grade – B
Unlike Archer, Lee has found a great deal of success since being traded to Tampa from Chicago. What’s interesting is how his power numbers have spiked even though he’s playing in a very pitcher-friendly league. I’ll remind you of my past reports on Lee stating he has some wiry strength and more power than he lets on, but his approach doesn’t really let him tap into it. I’m wondering if something has changed with his approach.
74. Trey McNutt | Chicago Cubs (2) | RHP | Grade – B
75. Josh Sale | Tampa Bay Rays (6) | RF/1b | Grade – B
76. Chris Carter | Oakland Athletics (2) | 1b/DH | Grade – B
77. Alex Colome | Tampa Bay Rays (7) | RHP | Grade – B
78. Michael Choice | Oakland Athletics (3) | OF | Grade – B
79. Jason Knapp | Cleveland Indians (4) | RHP | Grade – B
He hasn’t thrown a pitch yet, but that’s because the Indians want to limit his innings this year. He’s in extended Spring Training and will be assigned to A+ Kinston soon.
80. Brody Colvin | Philadelphia Phillies (4) | RHP | Grade – B
Colvin has been dealing with a back injury and missed most of April because of it. He’s now shaking off the rust. For those that didn’t see it, click here for the write up I did on Colvin for the excellent Phillies minor league site, Phuture Phillies.
81. Deck McGuire | Toronto Blue Jays (3) | RHP | Grade – B
82. J.P. Arencibia | Toronto Blue Jays (4) | C | Grade – B
83. Christian Colon | Kansas City Royals (8) | SS/2b | Grade – B
His stock is actually down. He’s just not hitting for power or hitting the ball with authority right now.
84. Jake McGee | Tampa Bay Rays (8) | LHP | Grade – B
This may have been an overrate as there are a couple guys below him that I would rank higher than him at this moment in time.
85. Chris Dwyer | Kansas City Royals (9) | LHP | Grade – B
86. Dee Gordon | Los Angeles Dodgers (2) | SS | Grade – B/B-
87. Zach Stewart | Toronto Blue Jays (5) | RHP | Grade – B/B-
88. Alex White | Cleveland Indians (5) | RHP | Grade – B/B-
89. Travis d’Arnaud | Toronto Blue Jays (6) | C | Grade – B/B-
He’s off to another fast start, but he collapsed last year. Can he keep it up this time around?
90. Billy Hamilton | Cincinnati Reds (4) | SS/2b | Grade – B/B-
He’s struggling mightily right now. Perhaps he was a little overhyped coming into the 2011 season?
91. Tony Sanchez | Pittsburgh Pirates (2) | C | Grade – B/B-
92. Christian Friedrich | Colorado Rockies (3) | LHP | Grade – B/B-
93. Andy Oliver | Detroit Tigers (3) | LHP | Grade – B/B-
94. Hank Conger | Los Angeles Angels (3) | C | Grade – B/B-
95. Garrett Richards | Los Angeles Angels (4) | RHP | Grade – B/B-
96. Josh Vitters | Chicago Cubs (4) | 3b | Grade – B/B-
97. Nolan Arenado | Colorado Rockies (4) | 3b | Grade – B/B-
98. Rubby de la Rosa | Los Angeles Dodgers (3) | RHP | Grade – B-/B
99. Dan Klein | Baltimore Orioles (3) | RHP | Grade – B-/B
100. Reymond Fuentes | San Diego Padres (4) | CF | Grade – B-/B
JUST MISSING THE CUT (in no particular order)
Kaleb Cowart (Angels | 3b)
Nick Weglarz (Indians | OF/1b/DH)
Daniel Fields (Tigers | CF)
Drew Vettleson (Rays | RF)
Oscar Tejeda (Red Sox | 2b)
Robbie Erlin (Rangers | LHP)
Jerry Sands (Dodgers | OF/1b)
Luis Heredia (Pirates | RHP)
Oswaldo Arcia (Twins | OF)
Allen Webster (Dodgers | RHP)
Yonder Alonso (Reds | 1b)
SOME NAMES YOU MIGHT SEE ON NEXT YEAR’S LIST (in no particular order)
Garin Cecchini (Red Sox | 3b/SS)
Kolbrin Vitek (Red Sox | 3b/OF)
Oswaldo Arcia (Twins | OF)
Jesse Biddle (Phillies | LHP)
Christian Yelich (Marlins | 1b)
Jemile Weeks (Athletics | 2b)
Matt Lipka (Braves | 2b)
Aaron Sanchez (Blue Jays | RHP)
Carlos Perez (Blue Jays | C)
Joe Benson (Twins | OF)
Liam Hendriks (Twins | RHP)
Tyrell Jenkins (Cardinals | RHP)
Stetson Allie (Pirates | RHP)
Bryce Brentz (Red Sox | OF)
Jake Petricka (White Sox | RHP)
Brad Peacock (Nationals | RHP)
Mike Olt (Rangers | 3b)
Starln Marte (Pirates | CF)
David Perez (Rangers | RHP)
Trevor May (Phillies | RHP)
A.J. Cole (Nationals | RHP)
Oscar Taveras (Cardinals | OF)
Gary Brown (Giants | CF)
Keyvius Sampson (Padres | RHP)
James Darnell (Padres | 3b)
Jedd Gyorko (Padres | 3b)
Peter Tago (Rockies | RHP)
Matt Davidson (Diamondbacks | 3b)
Jake Marisnick (Blue Jays | OF)
Austin Romine (Yankees | C)
Sean Coyle (Red Sox | 2b/SS)
TOP-100 PROSPECTS BY TEAM
AL East (24)
BALTIMORE Orioles (3) – 10, 16, 99
BOSTON Red Sox (3) – 50, 70, 72
NEW YORK Yankees (4) – 9, 13, 36, 40
TAMPA BAY Rays (8) – 7, 23, 25, 51, 73, 75, 77, 84
TORONTO Blue Jays (6) – 14, 58, 81, 82, 87, 89
AL Central (22)
CHICAGO White Sox (1) – 11
CLEVELAND Indians (5) – 27, 45, 47, 79, 88
DETROIT Tigers (3) – 26, 62, 93
KANSAS CITY Royals (9) – 3, 8, 24, 29, 30, 53, 54, 83, 85
MINNESOTA Twins (4) – 38, 43, 49, 65
AL West (12)
LOS ANGELES Angels (4) – 1, 55, 94, 95
OAKLAND Athletics (3) – 48, 76, 78
SEATTLE Mariners (3) – 28, 42, 60
TEXAS Rangers (2) – 15, 33
NL East (14)
ATLANTA Braves (5) – 5, 31, 34, 35, 64
FLORIDA Marlins (0)
NEW YORK Mets (3) – 44, 52, 56
PHILADELPHIA Phillies (4) – 6, 17, 32, 80
WASHINGTON Nationals (2) – 2, 39
NL Central (13)
CHICAGO Cubs (3) – 46, 74, 96
CINCINNATI Reds (4) – 12, 19, 63, 90
HOUSTON Astros (1) – 41
MILWAUKEE Brewers (0)
PITTSBURGH Pirates (2) – 20, 91
ST. LOUIS Cardinals (3) – 4, 68, 69
NL West (16)
ARIZONA Diamonbacks (2) – 22, 57
COLORADO Rockies (4) – 18, 67, 92, 97
LOS ANGELES Dodgers (3) – 71, 86, 98
SAN DIEGO Padres (5) – 37, 59, 66, 100
SAN FRANCISCO Giants (2) – 21, 61